Senior US Economist

Position Summary: The Senior US Economist is responsible for developing and conveying The Conference Board forecast for the US economy. This will include forecasting, maintaining existing models, building new models, creating timely insights on the economy, and crafting the view of the US economic outlook for delivery to members, the media, and the public. This role will also be responsible for producing insights on the interaction between economics, finance, risk, and business strategy. The candidate will support the Chief Economist in providing briefings to key stakeholders. The incumbent will also work collaboratively with other teamswithin US ESF center, ESF teams abroad, and partners in other Centers spanning the globeto provide intelligence on the US economy. Accountabilities: Develop and maintain The Conference Board forecast of the US economy. Production of written insights, as well as being featured in webcasts, podcasts, and briefings to Members on the following topics: US growth, consumption, investment, housing, trade, inflation, Fed policy; and themes relating to finance and risk, including monetary policy, fiscal policy, crypto, money, banking, and financial stability. Partner with labor market institute to generate US labor market forecasts including unemployment rates, payrolls, wages. Establish a view on US monetary policy and collaborate with CED on US fiscal policy. Disseminate the US forecast to external surveys (Blue Chip, Bloomberg, etc.). Present US themes on the monthly Economy Watch webcast series and maintain monthly Economy Watch US view deck Engage Members in Experts Live briefings and on the ESF community. Generate US chart deck and topical decks on relevant themes. Write Rapid Responses to high frequency data (ex. GDP, CPI, Retail Sales, FOMC, PCE, etc.). Write thematic insights on the US economy, and contribute to and write op-eds. Conduct US economic scenario modeling using Oxford Economic platform. Develop content and indicators for surveys focused upon finance, risk, and strategy. Produce US section of the Annual Global Economic Outlook and advise on global report. Contribute to Gray Swans tools. Facilitate / lead insights projects on other ad hoc topics pertaining to the US, including trade. Execute projects related to geopolitics and fiscal policy requiring data analysis. Maintain high quality of insights design, implementation, and final output. Engage in NABE to develop professional network and remain abreast of emerging themes. Qualifications: A Master's degree or PhD in Economics or related field. 5-10 years of work experience in a data-intensive macroeconomic research environment. Deep knowledge of the US economy and a strong grasp of economic theory. Solid credentials in data analytics and analysis. Excellent writing skills. Superb communications skills. Significant experience with analytical, statistical, and visualization packages (e.g., Excel, PowerPoint, E-views, Tableau). Programming/coding experience (e.g., STATA, SAS, R, Python, Matlab). Knowledge of Haver DLX, CEIC, and Bloomberg data platforms desired. Experience presenting to and interacting with senior executives in a business setting. Media experience strongly preferred. Experience working in a multidisciplinary, business-oriented team environment. Works well under pressure and meets strict deadlines. Highly organized, with strong attention to detail. Experience with project management. Experience supervising and/or mentoring junior staff is desirable.